Chelsea v Atletico Madrid Preview, Stats and Betting Tips, Tuesday 5th December, Stamford Bridge, Kick off: 19:45

When Atletico Madrid were drawn alongside Chelsea, Roma and Qarabag in Group C of the Champions League, many pundits thought they’d win the group. However, with just one win from five games to show from their efforts, Diego Simeone’s team are likely to fall at the first hurdle. Atletico must beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday and hope that Roma don’t beat Qarabag at the Stadio Olimpico. Anything else will see them drop into the Europa League with their tail very firmly between their legs.

Chelsea v Atletico Madrid Head to Head Record

  • Atletico Madrid 1-2 Chelsea – 27 September 2017, Champions League
  • Chelsea 1-3 Atletico Madrid – 30 April 2014, Champions League
  • Atletico Madrid 0-0 Chelsea – 22 April 2015, Champions League
  • Atletico Madrid 4-1 Chelsea – 31 August 2012, UEFA Super Cup
  • Atletico Madrid 2-2 Chelsea – 3 November 2009, Champions League

Chelsea v Atletico Madrid Preview

While Atletico are in the unenviable position of having to rely on another result, Chelsea are already assured of their place in the knockout stages of the Champions League. It’s been far from plain sailing for the Blues (the draw and defeat against Roma were particularly concerning) but their big win at the Wanda Metropolitano and comfortable victories over Qarabag have seen them through.

Antonio Conte will still be demanding a fully committed performance from his players so they win Group C and hopefully secure an easier draw. That much was clear when he took Eden Hazard and Cesc Fabregas off during Saturday’s win over Newcastle. Conte is also taking a wider view. The Chelsea manager had to fight off suggestions that he was about to leave the club when they went through a sticky patch in October but they’re now playing much better and Conte must keep it that way.

Nobody is seriously suggesting that Simeone will be leaving Atletico Madrid any time soon but it’s fair to say he’s had his own critics this season. Atletico are doing ok in La Liga but there is a certain flair missing from their game. The Rojiblancos have struggled for goals in the big games and it was their back to back draws with Qarabag that really did the damage in Group C.

Simeone has publically called on his players to show “pride, intensity and courage” at Stamford Bridge. That much used to be taken for granted from his team. They certainly appeared to drop their levels after taking the lead against Chelsea when they met in September. Chelsea should be praised for the way they fought back to snatch a late win but Atletico should have at least claimed a point. As it was, the defeat will likely be remembered as just one of the low points of a disappointing and short lived Champions League campaign.

Relevant Stats, Injuries and Suspensions

When Chelsea were beaten 3-0 by Arsenal last season it prompted Antonio Conte to make drastic changes to his tactical set up. The changes after Chelsea’s 3-0 humbling away to Roma this season weren’t as dramatic but Conte’s tinkering has improved his team’s performance.

By putting another body into midfield, Cesc Fabregas has been freed up to do the damage with his passing. That in turn has allowed Eden Hazard to thrive up front with Alvaro Morata. Hazard has scored five goals in as many appearances and is a best price of 15/8 to score against Atletico with Betfair. Morata’s form is slightly cooler but his 10 goals in all competitions since joining Chelsea is impressive enough.

At the opposite end of the pitch, David Luiz continues to miss out after falling out with Conte.

As for Atletico, they welcome back Stefan Savic after he served a one game suspension and they have their own in form forward, Antoine Griezmann. The Frenchman ended a drought with his fabulous scissor kick goal against Roma and he’s now scored four in three.

If Chelsea are to win, they’ll have to break down an Atletico defence which has gone five games without conceding but they’ll be confident after a run of five wins in six games.

Chelsea v Atletico Madrid Tips

There is no doubt that Chelsea must be on top of their game to see off the challenge of Atletico Madrid. These two look to be well matched and we could be in for another tight encounter in which fine margins make all the difference.

With Roma heavy odds on favourites to beat Qarabag, there is every chance that heads will drop in the Atletico ranks. That will hand the impetus to Chelsea who are in good form and look good value at 21/20 with Ladbrokes.

If Chelsea are to snatch a tight game, it could be their new striking hero, Alvaro Morata, who scores first at 4/1 with Betfair. He’s been very impressive for his new club and could make the difference in what is set to be a tight game.

To further profit from a close encounter, you can back Chelsea to win by one goal at 11/4 with Betfair.