Northumberland Plate Tips and Betting Offers, Newcastle, Saturday 29th June 2019

With a purse of £150,000, the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest two-mile handicaps anywhere on the planet. Such is the regular demand for Class 2 event, the Northumberland Vase was set up to act as consolation race for the many horses that miss out. For the fortunate 20 who have made their way into the locally known Pitmen’s Derby, they have a chance to make headlines during Saturday’s feature battle.

Northumberland Plate Betting Tips and Offers

  • King’s Advice to win at 11/1 with Betfair
  • Dubawi Fifty each way at 14/1 with bet365

Earlier in the month you could’ve backed Gibbs Hill as long as 20/1 but how that price has tumbled to 4/1 (Coral) now. The bookies are running scared of Roger Varian’s runner following his fine patch of form combined with reports that his six-year-old has looked in fine shape training. While there’s little reason to doubt the accuracy of the inside information the bookies receive, Gibbs Hill remains a big gamble considering his long lay-off. It’s been almost two years since he was last in action and his fondness of artificial ground isn’t enough to fully alleviate these concerns.

Withhold (9/1, Ladbrokes) won this handicap as the favourite 12 months ago and he’s back looking for more Plate success here. It’s been over 40 years since a horse won this contest back to back though and in order to break the record he must do so with a substantial eight pound increase. Although he did win with a decent degree of comfort during his last Newcastle appearance, you are right to question if he can overcome his higher rating. Adding doubt to his chances is face he’s not had a competitive outing since being the easily beaten favourite at Geelong last October.

Betting Tips and Pointers

King’s Advice improvements under Mark Johnston this season have been nothing short of miraculous. Initially given an official rating of 71, the chestnut horse is now rated 30lbs higher following an incredible run of six straight victories. Gradually edged up in class, the son of Frankel will not look out of place here and he’s also a proven performer on artificial ground. This may be his two mile debut but past trends tell us that a previous 1m 4f+ win is all that’s required of Plate hopefuls. On current form he’s very difficult to ignore especially as he’s been bumped dup just 3lbs following his latest win.

We’ve seen eight winners set off 14/1 or greater in this race since 2005 so an each way flutter on an outsider certainly offers appeal. Catching our eye from lower down the betting is Dubawi Fifty, certainly no stranger to Newcastle’s artificial turf. The Karen McLintock trained horse has made seven previous appearances in Tyneside, winning and finishing runner-up twice each. Even when ending up further behind, such as his third place finish last March, the six-year-old was only half a length off the pace. Also taking into his proven stamina across two miles and above, 14/1 is a price that has to be snapped up.