Slovenia v England Tips and Betting Offers, Tuesday 11th October 2016, Stožice Stadium, Kick off: 19:45

Can Gareth Southgate strengthen his claim to be England manager with a win on Tuesday? The former Middlesbrough boss takes the Three Lions away to Slovenia, who are unbeaten after two games. Given that the Three Lions won every game in Euro 2016 qualifying, including two victories against their next opponents, there’s a lot of pressure on Southgate here.

Slovenia v England Betting Offers and Free Bets

Coral Slovenia v England Offer

Here are the best betting offers for the Slovenia v England match, but also check out our World Cup betting offers page and our Top 10 Free Bets.

Slovenia v England Betting Tips

Preview

England are widely expected to record another win, after seeing off Slovakia and Malta in their opening two games. Sky Bet price the visitors at 2/3 to take all three points here. Meanwhile Slovenia are priced at 7/2 with Coral to record back to back home wins. They price the draw at 5/2, which would be the first qualifying points England have dropped in three years.

Slovenia are currently ranked 67th in the world, which shows that there’s quite a gap between them and England. The Three Lions have actually won every encounter between these two. They first met in a friendly back in 2009, while Fabio Capello led them to a 1-0 win at the 2010 World Cup. Their last qualifying campaign saw a 3-1 win at Wembley and a 3-2 in Ljubljana.

Protecting that record is huge for Gareth Southgate, as his chances of landing the England job permanently rest on the next three games. There’s also a lot on the line for the Slovenians, as they are competing with Slovakia and Scotland for second place, and a potential spot in the play-offs. Any points against the group’s top seeds would be seen as a bonus in their push to be runners up.

Betting Verdict

Slovenia’s recent home games have all been quite low scoring. Their last match to go over 2.5 goals was their meeting with England in June 2015. We don’t think their lack of goals is a team problem, it seems more to do with the average sides they’ve been facing. When the Slovenians need to, they can push forward and get goals. That’s why we see over 2.5 goals in this one as overpriced. It’s currently 29/20 with BetVictor, and it’s our main tip here.

We’re also backing England to win, given their strong head to head record and the gulf in class between these two. However, as we’re predicting goals, we’re backing Southgate’s side on the result and both teams to score market. An England win and BTTS is priced at 4/1 with Betfair, and that seems like fantastic value. When you consider than Slovenia have scored in three of their four defeats against England, it seems worthwhile to back the Three Lions to concede on their way to victory.