West Ham v Stoke, Preview, Stats and Betting Tips, Monday 16th April 2018, London Stadium, Kick off: 20:00
The bottom half of the Premier League has been incredibly tight this season. For a long spell it appeared as though the relegation battle would go down until the very last knockings but the picture has become clearer in recent weeks.
West Brom are already planning for life in the Championship while Stoke are just a couple of bad weeks away from being similarly cut adrift. The Potters are still fighting though and on Monday they have a chance not only to secure three points but to drag a relegation rival, West Ham, back into the mess when the two meet at London Stadium.
West Ham v Stoke Head to Head Record
- Stoke 0-3 West Ham – 16 December 2017, Premier League
- Stoke 0-0 West Ham – 29 April 2017, Premier League
- West Ham 1-1 Stoke – 5 November 2016, Premier League
- Stoke 2-1 West Ham – 15 May 2016, Premier League
- West Ham 0-0 Stoke – 12 December 2015, Premier League
West Ham v Stoke Preview
With matches against Arsenal and both Manchester clubs still to go, West Ham are not quite out of the woods yet. The Irons did pick up an unexpected point away to Chelsea last weekend to move them six points clear of danger but still need another win to be sure of survival. David Moyes certainly isn’t taking anything for granted and will be demanding another strong performance from his players.
West Ham fans are yet to be convinced that Moyes is the man to lead the club to better things in the long term but there’s a general respect for the job he’s done in difficult circumstances. The team that Moyes inherited from Slaven Bilic was lacking in motivation, fitness and organisation while there were huge problems off the pitch. He’s tightened them up at the back and although the football’s not always been scintillating, the wins against Watford, Huddersfield and away to Stoke hint at what this current crop of players are capable of.
A Marko Arnautovic-inspired West Ham were head and shoulders above Stoke when they met at the Bet365 Stadium. That result turned some of the Moyes doubters around but it did nothing for Mark Hughes’ reputation with the Stoke faithful. He was not in the job for much longer and while his replacement, Paul Lambert, has worked incredibly hard, results just haven’t improved enough for the Potters. Stoke have lost seven and won just a single game in 2018 and travel to east London on the back of a four game losing run. The sort of fan unrest and reports of dressing room problems emanating from Stoke are commonplace in relegated teams and there’s every chance the Potters will move a step closer to the trapdoor on Monday night.
Relevant Stats, Injuries and Suspensions
West Brom are the worst team in the Premier League but Stoke’s stats hardly paint a pretty picture. They’ve let in more goals than any other side (63!), have scored just 30 goals from their 33 league games and are second bottom of the form table. With eight points, Stoke’s away record is better only than West Brom’s and they’re seven points worse off than at this stage of any of their previous Premier League appearances.
As you’d expect from a team who have been threatened by relegation for much of the season, West Ham’s stats aren’t great either. They’ve conceded just five goals fewer than Stoke, have won just twice away from home and clearly fatigue as they’ve let in 60% of their goals in the second half.
West Ham’s season has not been helped by a string of injuries to key players. None of Pedro Obiang, Sam Byram, Winston Reid or Michail Antonio will play again this season while Andy Carroll, Manuel Lanzini, James Collins and Aaron Cresswell are all likely to miss out on Monday night. Stoke look set to be without Kevin Wimmer and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting through injury. Charlie Adam is suspended while Ibrahim Afellay has fallen out with Paul Lambert.
West Ham v Stoke Tips
The bookies have made West Ham the favourites for Monday night’s game but their ongoing issues at London Stadium mean you can get them at a generous looking evens with Coral. Given that West Ham have won all but two of their home games against teams 12th or below and that Stoke are woeful on the road, that must be a price worth taking.
As this pits two of the Premier League’s worst defensive units against each other, a bet on over 2.5 goals could pay off at 11/10 with Ladbrokes. You should also consider betting on Marko Arnautovic scoring the game’s first goal at 4/1 with BetVictor given his form and how much he enjoyed playing against his old side in December.